Sun, Dec 15, 2019

With four teams, including the high-powered Chiefs, on bye in Week 12, the NFL DFS player pool for Sunday isn’t as deep as normal. Add in injuries to key players like James Conner (shoulder), Devonta Freeman (foot) and Adam Thielen (hamstring) and there are plenty of challenges when it comes to finding the top NFL DFS picks and NFL DFS stacks on sites like FanDuel, Yahoo, and DraftKings. Does the optimal NFL DFS strategy include loading up on players from potentially high-scoring matchups like Falcons vs. Buccaneers (over-under of 51.5) and Panthers vs. Saints (47), or are there better values elsewhere? Before identifying the top matchups to target and locking in any daily Fantasy football picks, be sure to see the NFL DFS advice from SportsLine’s Mike McClure. He’s a DFS pro who has won almost $2 million in his career, and his optimal NFL DFS strategy can help your roster separate from the pack.

McClure is also a predictive data engineer at SportsLine who uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every snap of every game 10,000 times, taking factors like matchups, statistical trends and injuries into account. This allows him to find the best NFL DFS values and create optimal lineups that he shares only over at SportsLine. They’re a must-see for any NFL DFS player.

McClure had eye-popping results during the 2018 NFL season, cashing in the top 5 percent of tournaments on FanDuel and DraftKings multiple times. His optimal lineups cashed as high as the top 0.1 percent on FanDuel and as high as the top 1 percent on DraftKings.

He’s rolling through 2019 as well, including a strong 3x return on DraftKings in the Week 3 main slate. On Sunday of Week 5, his optimal lineup finished in the top 1 percent of tournaments on DraftKings, with his four core players — Deshaun Watson, Michael Thomas, Christian McCaffrey and Will Fuller — combining for a whopping 196.34 points, enough to cash in tournaments by themselves. He followed that up by cashing his FanDuel and DraftKings lineups on Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football in Week 6 and then cashed everywhere on his SNF lineups yet again in Week 7. He continued his roll with wins on both sites on the main slate, SNF and MNF in Week 8. He added 5x returns on his optimal lineups on both sites in Week 9 and cashed in main slate tournaments on both sites in Week 11. Anybody who has been following him has seen huge returns. 

Now, he has turned his attention to the Week 12 NFL DFS player pool and locked in his top daily Fantasy football picks. You can only see them by heading to SportsLine.

We can tell you one of McClure’s top NFL DFS picks for Week 12 is Panthers tight end Greg Olsen at $5,100 on FanDuel and $4,100 on DraftKings. NFL DFS players who have invested in the 34-year-old veteran have seen several huge returns this year, including over 6x value on DraftKings twice. He also hit close to 5x value two weeks ago against the Packers after posting a strong 8-98 receiving line.

This week, Olsen draws a matchup against the Saints, a defense that has been tough overall, but is middle of the pack when it comes to defending tight ends, allowing the 16th most receptions (46) to the position. Just last week, Buccaneers tight end Cameron Brate posted 10 catches for 73 yards against the Saints, so confidently lock in Olsen as one of your top NFL DFS picks for Week 12.

Part of McClure’s optimal NFL DFS strategy for Week 12 includes rostering Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas ($9,200 FanDuel, $9,300 DraftKings), who has an NFL-record 94 receptions through the first 10 games of this season. Those 94 receptions lead the league and he also leads the NFL in receiving yards (1,141).

Thomas has been targeted at least seven times in every game this season and has received 10 or more targets in each of the last six games he’s played. That reliability makes him a weekly staple in NFL DFS lineups and a matchup against a Panthers defense that has been gashed by DJ Chark (8-164-2), Godwin (18-