Mon, Dec 9, 2019

A champion will be crowned on Sunday when the Seattle Sounders host Toronto FC in the 2019 MLS Cup. It’s the third time in the past four years these two clubs have met in the MLS Cup Final, with the teams splitting titles in 2016 and 2017. Seattle defeated Los Angeles FC to reach its third MLS Cup, while Toronto knocked off the defending MLS champions Atlanta United FC. Kick-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET from CenturyLink Field in Seattle. Oddsmakers list Seattle as a -120 money line favorite (risk $120 to win $100), while Toronto is going off at +280 (risk $100 to win $280). A draw is listed at +250 (after 90 minutes of play), and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before you make your 2019 MLS Cup picks, see what SportsLine’s proprietary soccer model has to say.

Created by two Norwegians, professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim, the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Over the last three years, their algorithm is up an eye-popping 13,800 percent.

It’s also on an incredible run on its Champions League picks this season, returning over $1,200 dollars to $100 players on Matchday 3 of the group stage. The model correctly predicted the profitable draw (+254) between Lille and Valencia, as well as Napoli’s (+165) victory over Red Bull Salzburg, Benfica (+121) topping Lyon, Real Madrid (-142) defeating Galatasaray, and PSG (-169) cruising past Club Brugge. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has dialed-in on the 2019 MLS Cup Final. We can tell you it’s leaning under 2.5 goals, but its much stronger play is on the money line. You can only see that pick over at SportsLine. 

The model has taken into account that Seattle features an explosive offense that has been red-hot in its most recent outings. In fact, the Sounders have scored multiple goals in their last three games, which includes a three-goal performance against LAFC in the Western Conference Finals. And despite only having possession for 31 percent of the game against LAFC, Seattle was able to record 11 shots. Plus, Seattle gets the benefit of hosting the 2019 MLS Cup, as the Sounders have won five of their last six games at CenturyLink Field.

Forward Jordan Morris is the catalyst for Seattle’s offense, recording three goals and one assist in three playoff matchups. For the season. Morris has scored 10 goals and provided seven assists. 

But just because Seattle is extremely hard to beat at home doesn’t mean the Sounders can outlast Toronto FC on Sunday and provide value on the money line. 

That’s because Toronto FC has plenty of experience in big matches. This will be Toronto’s third appearance in the MLS Cup Final in the past four years. In 2017, Toronto FC knocked off Seattle 2-0, winning its first-ever MLS Cup title. 

Toronto FC is led by Alejandro Pozuelo, who recorded 12 goals and 12 assists this season. Pozuelo scored both of Toronto’s goals in a 2-1 victory over No. 1 seed New York City FC in the Eastern Conference semifinals.

So who wins the 2019 MLS Cup? And where does the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Seattle Sounders vs. Toronto FC money line you should be all over Sunday, all from the proprietary soccer model that’s up an eye-popping 13,800 percent, and find out. 

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