Mon, Oct 14, 2019

Perhaps the strongest field in tournament history will assemble this week at the Silverado Resort and Spa’s North course for the 2019 Safeway Open. The third tournament of the 2019-20 PGA Tour wraparound season, the Safeway Open was moved up in the schedule in a successful attempt to draw stronger fields to Napa Valley and the 7,203-yard, par-72 course. Among the stars in the field this weekend is Justin Thomas, the pre-tournament favorite at 6-1 in the latest 2019 Safeway Open odds. Patrick Cantlay and Adam Scott are both 11-1 and Hideki Matsuyama is 14-1. Bryson Dechambeau, Phil Mickelson, Fred Couples, John Daly, Brandt Snedeker, Jim Furyk, Jimmy Walker, Pat Perez, Jason Dufner and Marc Leishman are also notable names in the field. Defending champion Kevin Tway is in the field, and former Dallas Cowboys QB and CBS analyst Tony Romo will compete on a sponsor’s exemption. Before you make your 2019 Safeway Open picks, you’ll want to see the PGA Tour predictions from the proven projection model at SportsLine

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has nailed two of the last three majors entering the weekend. It predicted Gary Woodland’s first career major championship at the U.S. Open even though he wasn’t the favorite entering the weekend. The result: Woodland held off a late charge from Brooks Koepka and won by three strokes. The model also called Koepka’s historic victory at the 2019 PGA Championship, predicting he’d hold his lead in the home stretch. In all, their advanced computer model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend, and anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now that the 2019 Safeway Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. One huge shocker the model is calling for: Adam Scott, a 13-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top Vegas favorites, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all. 

Scott played extremely well down the stretch last season, finishing inside the top 10 in six of his last eight PGA Tour starts. In all, Scott finished the 2018-19 PGA Tour season with nine top 10s, including three consecutive top 10 finishes in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. 

Despite his dominant season, Scott struggled to find consistency throughout the year. In fact, the 39-year-old finished T-40 or worse six times last season. Scott’s inconsistent performances can be directly attributed to his inability to find the fairway off the tee. The 2013 Masters champion finished last season ranked 135th in driving accuracy percentage (64.93), which doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard this weekend. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in this loaded Safeway Open 2019 field.

Another surprise: Collin Morikawa makes a strong run at the title despite going off at 40-1. A second-year PGA Tour member, Morikawa broke through in his rookie year to win the 2019 Barracuda Championship as part of a season that saw him win over $1.7 million and finish 59thin the FedEx Cup points standings. Morikawa was consistent last season, making 10 of 11 cuts and adding a T-2nd at the 3M Open and a T-4th at the John Deere Classic. 

Morikawa was one of eight rookies to qualify for the playoffs and one of five to advance to the BMW Championship. Morikawa played four seasons at Cal, where he was a three-time first-team All-American and four-time first-team All-Pac 12, was named 2018 Golfweek Men’s National Player of the Year, earned Pac-12 Player of the Year honors in 2019 and reached the No. 1 position in the World Amateur Golf Ranking. That’s why model likes the 22-year-old Morikawa at the 2019 Safeway Open as an excellent value play, and you should too.

Also, the model says five other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can see who they are, and get the full projected leaderboard, only over at SportsLine. 

So who wins the Safeway Open 2019, and which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and visit SportsLine now to see the projected 2019 Safeway Open leaderboard from the model that’s nailed six golf majors, and find out. 

Justin Thomas 6-1
Adam Scott 11-1
Patrick Cantlay 11-1
Hideki Matsuyama 14-1
Bryson DeChambeau 25-1
Sungjae Im 25-1
Byeong Hun An 28-1
Francesco Molinari 33-1
Brandt Snedeker 33-1
Lucas Glover 40-1
Emiliano Grillo 40-1
Collin Morikawa 40-1
Scott Piercy 40-1
Chez Reavie 40-1
Kevin Streelman 40-1
Marc Leishman 45-1
Kevin Na 50-1
Abraham Ancer 66-1
Bud Cauley 66-1
Corey Conners 66-1
Dylan Frittelli 66-1
Adam Hadwin 66-1
Charles Howell III 66-1
Phil Mickelson 66-1
Ryan Moore 66-1

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